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Wizards, Pacers face off in bid to secure No. 8 seed in Eastern Conference, NBA Playoffs 2021

The Wizards vs. Pacers game was simulated 10,000 times using SportsLine's Projection Model.

The Washington Wizards and the Indiana Pacers meet for the fourth time this season in the NBA play-in tournament on Thursday, and it’ll be a winner-take-all matchup. The eighth and final seed in the Eastern Conference is on the line, and the Wizards have to like their chances after winning all three meetings with the Pacers this month, including two in a six-day period. Despite losing to Boston on Tuesday, No. 8 seed Washington is still alive thanks to the play-in format, while ninth-seeded Indiana advanced with a 144-117 thrashing of Charlotte.

Capital One Arena will host the game at 8 p.m. ET. The Wizards are 3.5-point favourites at William Hill Sportsbook, and the over-under for total points scored is 238.5 in the new Pacers vs. Wizards odds. Before you make some Wizards vs. Pacers predictions, check out SportsLine’s validated computer model’s NBA predictions and betting advice.

Over the past two-plus seasons, the SportsLine Projection Model has returned over $9,100 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks by simulating every NBA game 10,000 times. This season, the model is up nearly $900 on its top-rated picks, and it entered the 2020-21 NBA Playoffs with a stunning 99-66 record against the spread dating back to last season. Anyone who has kept up with it has seen massive gains.

The model has now set its sights on the Pacers vs. Wizards matchup. You should check out SportsLine’s predictions. Here are some NBA betting patterns and odds for the Wizards vs. Pacers matchup:

  • Pacers vs. Wizards spread: Wizards -3.5
  • Pacers vs. Wizards over-under: 238.5 points
  • Pacers vs. Wizards money line: Wizards -165, Pacers +145
  • IND: The Pacers are 6-1-1 against the spread in the last eight games
  • WAS: The Wizards are 9-3 against the spread in the last 12 games

Why the Pacers are capable of covering

Domantas Sabonis was one of eight players in double figures in the win over Charlotte on Tuesday, one assist short of a triple-double. This season, the 6-foot-11 center nearly had a triple-double against the Wizards, scoring 32.3 points, 14.3 rebounds, and 9.3 assists. In the May 3 matchup, he had 32 points, 19 rebounds, and nine assists, and five days later he had 30 points, 13 rebounds, and 13 assists.

Caris LeVert, Indiana’s high-scoring guard, is still out due to health and safety precautions, but Malcolm Brogdon, who had been out for three weeks, returned to the lineup and had 16 points and eight assists in Tuesday’s victory. Due to a hamstring injury, Brogdon, who scored 21.2 points per game during the regular season, is classified as doubtful. Doug McDermott has stepped up his game in the last five weeks, scoring 19.4 points and making 16 3-pointers.

Why the Wizards are able to cover

Russell Westbrook of the Washington Wizards smashed Oscar Robertson’s NBA record for career triple-doubles this season, and he did so using the Pacers as a stepping stone. Three of his 38 triple-doubles came against the Pacers this season, including 35 points, 21 assists, and 14 rebounds on March 29 and 14 points, 24 assists, and 21 rebounds on May 3. On May 8, he tied Robertson’s record of 33 points, 15 assists, and 19 rebounds.

Bradley Beal averaged 31.3 points per game during the regular season and 47 in his last two games, but he has struggled with his shot due to a hamstring injury. Rui Hachimura and Davis Bertans both averaged 13.8 and 11.5 points per game, but they combined for just 12 points in Tuesday’s game against Boston. Against Indiana, they were much better, with Hachimura averaging 20.0 points and Bertans averaging 12.0 points in two meetings earlier this month.

Wizards vs. Pacers betting strategy

SportsLine’s model favours the total, predicting a total of 250 points for the two teams. The model also claims that one side of the distribution reaches in more than half of all simulations. That selection is available at SportsLine.

So, who would win the Pacers vs. Wizards matchup? And which side of the distribution wins in more than half of the simulations? Visit SportsLine right now to learn which side of the spread you should bet on, all based on a model that is hot on NBA picks.

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