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Nets vs. Celtics odds, line, selections, and Game 4 predictions from the model on a 99-66 roll in the 2021 NBA Playoffs

The Celtics vs. Nets game was simulated 10,000 times by SportsLine's projection model.

Staff of CBS Sports
it was 9 hours ago
3 minutes to read
On Sunday, the seventh-seeded Boston Celtics will play the second-seeded Brooklyn Nets in Game 4 of their first-round Eastern Conference playoff series. The Celtics, who finished the regular season with a 36-36 record, have a home record of 22-15, including the playoffs. They won Game 3 by a score of 125-119 on Friday. Prior to Friday, the Nets had won all five games between the clubs this season, finishing 48-24 in the regular season. They’d swept the three-game regular season series and won the first two playoff games by a combined score of 33 points.

In Boston, the game begins at 7 p.m. ET. According to William Hill Sportsbook’s latest Nets vs. Celtics odds, Brooklyn is an eight-point road favourite, with a total points scored over-under of 228.5. Before making any Celtics vs. Nets predictions, check out SportsLine’s proven computer model’s NBA predictions and betting recommendations.

Over the past two-plus seasons, the SportsLine Projection Model has delivered over $9,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA choices by simulating every NBA game 10,000 times. This season, the model is up about $800 on its top-rated choices, and it started the first full week of the 2021 NBA Playoffs with an incredible 99-66 record against the spread dating back to last season. Anyone who has kept up with it has noticed huge gains.

The model has now set its sights on the NBA Playoffs 2021 matchup between the Nets and the Celtics. You can check out SportsLine’s predictions. Here are some NBA betting odds for the Celtics vs. Nets matchup:

  • Nets vs. Celtics spread: Nets -8
  • Nets vs. Celtics over-under: 228.5 points
  • Nets vs. Celtics money line: Nets -345, Celtics +285
  • BKN: The Nets are 33-27 after a day off 
  • BOS: The Celtics are 6-3 as a home underdog

Why the Nets are able to cover
The Nets succumbed to the Celtics 125-119 in Game 3 on Friday, but it was only the second time this season that Brooklyn has lost to Boston after winning three regular season games and two postseason games. James Harden scored 41 points and added 10 assists and seven rebounds to become the third Nets player to score 40 points in a postseason game. Kevin Durant scored 39 points and pulled down nine rebounds, becoming only the second pair of players in team history to score 30-plus points in the same postseason game.

Kyrie Irving only had 16 points on Friday, missing 11 of 17 attempts from the field, but he has scored 29 points or more three times this season against Boston. In this series, both Harden (Game 3) and Joe Harris (Game 2) have made seven 3-pointers in a game, tying a franchise playoff record. Against the Celtics, the Nets have won nine of their last ten playoffs games. With a foot injury, Jeff Green is anticipated to miss the balance of the series and will be re-evaluated in 10 days.

Why the Celtics are capable of covering

Jayson Tatum led Boston to its first win of the series on Friday, after scoring only nine points in Game 2 and departing after 21 minutes after being poked in the eye in a defeat in Brooklyn.

For the second time in his last four games, he scored 50 points, becoming the only player in league playoff history to do so after scoring in the single digits the prior game. Tatum, who is 23 years old, is also the third-youngest player in NBA history to score 50 points in a postseason game.Tatum was a big reason why the Celtics eventually beat the Nets in the playoffs after a nine-game losing streak. He helped Boston overcome Kemba Walker’s six-point performance in Game 2 following a bone bruise to his left knee, as well as the loss of Robert Williams III, who exited after six minutes with an ankle injury.

To compliment Tatum, Marcus Smart scored 23 points and Tristan Thompson had a double-double with 19 points and 13 rebounds. In Game 3, the Celtics outrebounded the Nets 46-37.

How to Pick the Celtics vs. Nets

The total is expected to be 231 points, according to SportsLine’s model. According to the model, one side of the spread hits in more than half of the simulations. SportsLine is the only place where you can see the pick.

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