- Whether a hurricane or tropical storm, meteorologists agree that Nicholas will be a rainmaker.
- Houston could be blasted with 8 to 12 inches of rain, and nearby areas could see up to 24 inches.
- Nicholas is now the 14th named storm of the 2021 Atlantic Hurricane season.
Schools closed and storm surge watches and warnings raced across the Gulf Coast as Nicholas churned toward the Texas coast Monday, a strengthening tropical storm that could reach hurricane status when it slams ashore later Monday.
Nicholas, with sustained winds of 60 mph, was centered about 45 miles southeast of the mouth of the Rio Grande and was headed northwest. Nicholas was forecast to move onshore along the coast of south or central Texas on Monday afternoon or evening.
“Strengthening is forecast today, and Nicholas could reach the northwest Gulf coast as a hurricane,” National Hurricane Center senior specialist Eric Blake said. Weakening was anticipated Tuesday and Wednesday as the storm moves over land, he said.
AccuWeather Meteorologist Ryan Adamson was more optimistic, suggesting the storm will spend limited time over warm Gulf of Mexico waters and thus likely won’t reach hurricane strength – sustained winds of at least 74 mph.
Whether a hurricane or tropical storm, meteorologists agree that Nicholas will be a rainmaker. Blake forecast Nicholas to pound parts of the middle and upper Texas coastline with 8 to 16 inches of rainfall, and isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches are possible through the middle of the week. Across the rest of coastal Texas into southwest Louisiana, rainfall of 5 to 10 inches is expected.
“Considerable” flash and urban flooding, especially in highly urbanized metropolitan areas, was possible, the hurricane center said. River flooding was also a concern.
Tropical Storm Nicholas nears Texas: NHC monitoring 3 other systems in Atlantic
Louisiana, where more than 100,000 homes and businesses remain without power two weeks after the devastation of Hurricane Ida, was under a state of emergency. In Texas, Houston could be blasted with 8 to 12 inches of rain, and nearby areas could see up to 24 inches, AccuWeather forecast.
Gov. Greg Abbott said resources had been deployed in Houston and along the entire Gulf Coast of Texas ahead of the storm.
“We urge you to listen to local weather alerts and heed local warnings from local officials,” Abbott said. “Be sure to avoid high water and the affects of flooding. And be safe.”
Schools close ahead of storm
About a dozen public school systems near Galveston, Texas, shut down for the day Monday, and Galveston schools were planning to close around noon. Several districts in the Houston area shut down or planned early releases. The Houston Independent School District tweeted that campuses and district offices will remain open – but school officials will “continue to monitor the weather and share important updates on our district’s social media and website.”
Texas A&M University-Kingsville canceled classes and the school’s Corpus Christi campus switched to remote learning for the day. The University of Houston was open Monday but was monitoring the forecast for excessive rainfall and flooding. The status for Tuesday had not been determined, the school said.
Hurricane season has been among most active
Nicholas is now the 14th named storm of the 2021 Atlantic Hurricane season. Only four other years since 1966 have had 14 or more named storms by Sept. 12: 2005, 2011, 2012 and 2020.
The National Hurricane Center is monitoring three other systems in the Atlantic; chances are increasing for two of the systems to develop into tropical depressions later this week.
The next names in the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season will be Odette and Peter.